The Big One

Long before Trump flags became ubiquitous along California’s rural highways, there were signs proclaiming the State of Jefferson.

Across most of Northern and Central California, as soon as the outlying suburbs and strip malls give way to farms and oak woodland, the signs appear. Some are just sheets of plywood, makeshift billboards with “Jefferson” spray painted onto the weathering surface. Others are professionally designed, manufactured signs and flags, complete with the Jefferson state “seal,” a yellow gold pan with two intersecting X’s in the middle.

This movement, seeking to secede from California and form a new U.S. state, could be dismissed as a futile joke. But the signs and the flags are everywhere. They represent the sentiments of millions of Californians who know, with ample cause, that the politicians in Sacramento don’t represent them and don’t care.

Over the past ten years, beginning roughly at the same time as the Tea Party Movement became a national phenomenon, and further catalyzed by Trump’s popularity later in the decade, the State of Jefferson movement has acquired new momentum. But alienation in this increasingly polarized state is not restricted to its rural population.

Silicon Valley venture capitalist Tim Draper channeled the frustrations of additional millions of urbanites when he qualified the “Three Californias” initiative for the November 2018 state ballot. The initiative was struck down by the California Supreme Court, which deemed it unconstitutional, but not before it attracted international attention. Draper, who favors government decentralization and accountability, drew lines on the map that made geographic and demographic sense. But by including the populous and heavily Democratic San Francisco Bay Area in what would have become “Northern California,” and the even more populous and equally Democratic Los Angeles County in what would have become “California,” Draper clearly didn’t have partisan goals in mind.

When asked if he’s contemplated trying again, Draper said “union bosses have ruled California public education for 50 years, and during that time California’s ranking has dropped from 1st to 47th. It is time for a change. Breaking up the state will make each state accountable and they will have to compete for citizens. People will be able to vote with their feet.”

California’s political geography is similar to the rest of the U.S., that is, the cities are blue, and the rural areas are red. But California, as vividly demonstrated when visualized based on voter registration, is a deep, deeply Blue state. Back during the Trump administration, terrified progressive urbanites launched the “Calexit” movement, dedicated to California seceding from the U.S. and forming an independent nation. Then when Biden took over as president, the movement scarcely skipped a beat. In February 2021 they announced the “Calexit Congress,” with the goal of “formally organizing and consolidating the California Independence Movement under a single flag with one unified voice.”

Breakup movements abound. According to Robert Preston, the founder of “New California,” “the current state of California has become governed by a tyranny.” Preston’s group proposes breaking California into two states. In the initial proposal, one state would include all of the coastal urban centers, only gerrymandering inland to grab liberal Sacramento County. The other state would encompass the mostly rural remainder. Preston’s most recent proposal appears to go one step further, claiming the “the final map will reveal two states with populations that are near equal but based on rural vs urban.”

It’s easy enough to dismiss these movements, but that would be a mistake. Calexit is growing its membership and making its presence known around the world. Tim Draper could revive his “three California’s” plan at any time, instantly granting the concept international scrutiny and refinement. New California has chapters in 52 of California’s 58 counties. The Jefferson movement, alive and well, has actually secured the endorsements of 22 county boards of supervisors.

There’s another reason to watch these developments carefully. California is a state of extremes. On one hand, California would easily qualify as a viable independent nation. Its diverse economy, abundant natural resources, agricultural riches, cultural power, Pacific Rim ports, and booming technology would make it not only a viable nation, but one of the most powerful nations in the world. If they wanted to, California’s technology billionaires could not only support their state’s declaration of independence, they could make sure that declaration was backed up by an ingenious, instantaneously improvised, next generation, extremely potent suite of strategic military capacities.

At the other extreme, apart from the technology elite and the pensioned seniors living in their Prop. 13 protected, paid for suburban redoubts, the majority of California’s 40 million citizens have been abused to the breaking point. For decades, California’s cultural vitality could overshadow the temptations of tribalism. It was, and still is in many ways, a place where outdoor adventures combine with cosmopolitan allures to offer residents a very good life. But that is changing fast.

The practical causes of rural alienation have been relentless and get worse every year. Farmers, who already have to spend far more time at the desk than on the tractor, thanks to innumerable regulations from scores of agencies that often conflict with each other and change all the time, are now being denied water for their crops. Politicians promise new reservoirs and aquifer storage investment so the abundant runoff from wet years can be saved for the dry years, but nothing gets built. Urban bureaucrats and litigators stop infrastructure projects in their tracks, while every year, environmentalists win new court orders and government edicts that require more water than ever to stay in the rivers and run out to sea.

California’s logging industry has been decimated, now harvesting trees at one quarter the rate of just thirty years ago, and, tellingly, also at about one quarter the rate that California’s forests regenerate. Mix that with decades of natural fire suppression and the conflagrations of recent years are easy to explain. But as towns are incinerated and insatiable bureaucrats make rebuilding impossible, California’s credentialed, conformist experts and their political puppets endorse a ban on gasoline powered vehicles by 2035. Because that will somehow stop the fires.

Property owners in rural California can’t clear the brush around their homes without first obtaining expensive permits that hostile, indifferent bureaucrats are slow to grant, if they grant them at all. Thanks to the logjam caused by a multi-level, implacable, Byzantine bureaucracy, staffed in equal measure by fanatics and slackers, jobs that should cost a few thousand dollars and take weeks end up costing millions and take decades. So nothing gets done, and the anger grows.

No wonder California’s rural population wants independence from Sacramento politicians and the coastal cities whose clueless voters elect them. Revitalizing the timber industry would thin the overgrown forests, end the superfires, and put revenue in the state treasury. Building a just a few massive off-stream reservoirs would make water scarcity a memory. But California’s urbanites are also reaching the breaking point, thanks to unaffordable housing and failing schools.

Here again, the misguided zealotry of California’s coastal elites is what drives the failed policies. These polices are promoted by a compliant media, enforced by well heeled environmentalist and human rights litigators, and force fed to a brainwashed generation of youth by the leftist teachers’ unions. Housing in California doesn’t have to be expensive, but artificial scarcity has been imposed by laws that confine most new housing to within the footprint of existing cities, combined with a regime of permits and fees that add literally hundreds of thousands of dollars to the price of a new home.

The solutions really are simple. Improve and widen the freeways. Start producing lumber and quarrying aggregates in-state to bring materials costs down. Quit repeating the preposterous lie, that California is running out of “open space.” Which brings us to public education. Of all the litanies of failure one may ascribe to California’s progressive zealots, this is the worst.

California’s public schools educate over 6 million K-12 students per year, although the term “educate” is being used very loosely. California’s curriculum, in the progressive vanguard of the nation, has embraced every bit of leftist nonsense as fast as it emerges from the academy and is picked up by the teachers unions. The pace of this descent has been exponential.

It was bad enough that K-12 students were learning “common core” math, perhaps the most convoluted excuse for pedagogy ever spawned. Bad enough that leftist political agendas were filtering their way into everything from history and social studies to sex education. Bad enough that test scores were among the worst in the nation. But then along came the twin blows of the COVID lockdown and the rollout of “critical race theory.”

Now, if students go to school at all, and whether it’s a virtual class or in-person learning, they are being subjected to an “ethnic studies model curriculum.” Every subject is now to be taught through the lens of oppression vs oppressor. Students starting in the primary grades are taught that the United States, capitalism, property ownership, patriotism, and traditional sex roles are all elements of a “parasitic” and oppressive society. Excellence itself is under assault, as math, science, even spelling and grammar, are all represented as tools of white oppression.

The impact of the destruction of California’s public education system is twofold. First it develops a generation of youth trained to view themselves as victims and to view society as fundamentally, irretrievably flawed. Instead of being educated to take individual responsibility for their success or failure, they are taught that society has crushed their aspirations and it must be destroyed. Equally dangerous, while their minds were being filled with this divisive trash, they are not learning the fundamental skills they might actually use to earn success in life.

Californians today, more than anywhere else in the United States, are being denied opportunity by a progressive elite that has declared war on small businesses, home ownership, property management, and practical education. To-date, these same elites are successfully conditioning Californians to blame their problems on each other. It is a diabolically effective distraction that prevents Californians from uniting to demand solutions.

When looking at California’s future, the obvious question is whether tens of millions of disenfranchised residents will unify behind an agenda that fixes the problems, or will they splinter into factions and try to break up the state. One expression of unity is the recent successful effort to recall Governor Newsom. Over 2.0 million Californians, and only a slight majority of them Republicans, signed a petition demanding a recall election. The lead proponent of this recall, Orrin Heatlie, when asked about his volunteer army, had this to say:

“The recall of Gavin Newsom has brought people together and galvanized people from all walks of life. The entire political spectrum, every ethnicity, race and culture have come together to make this happen.”

When it comes to California splintering into separate states, the recall movement and the organization behind it is a powerful new force. If they eventually decide their next goal is to secure independence from Sacramento, they will be hard to stop. And they’ll have plenty of help from preexisting organizations and individuals that have already created the infrastructure to create shadow governments and fund ballot initiatives.

On the other hand, the recall movement is evidence of a unified opposition to an assortment of failures by California’s state government. The sources of this opposition are as diverse as the state. Can parents living in central Los Angeles that just want better schools and affordable homes empathize with rural communities? Can farmers and forest residents who just want more water and the ability to thin the forests empathize with inner city communities? Is there a grand bargain that can unify these millions under more than just a recall, but an entire new way of governing the state?

If so, California may stay in one piece. But if not, rural Californians will not tolerate ongoing oppression by an urban majority, brainwashed to resent everything rural California represents. Nor should they.

This article originally appeared on the website The American Mind.

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